As every Oscar-predictions blog I have consulted in the last week announced, Brokeback Mountain will continue its raid on the award season by winning the Holy Grail on March 3rd. Does the fact that it is about a homosexual love story have anything to do with its success?

The recent noises about homosexual weddings such as its legalization in a growing number of countries and Elton John's celebrated one did thoroughly prepare the ground for the Golden Globe winner. This is the year of the Homosexual!

Today, the Producers Guild of America, honouring the top film and television projects of the past year, has just named Brokeback Mountain picture of the year. As the oscarigloo website said, "Can it seriously be stopped at this point?"

The fact that the dice seem to be already thrown is very frustrating. I mean, there was such a panel of good pictures this year! Forty years ago, it would have been revolutionary, but right now awarding the movie that can be labelized as polemic (the paradox cowboy/gay) is a very mainstream act.

It's exactly like what happened with Fahrenheit 9/11 winning the "Palme d'Or" two years ago at Cannes. It was an institutional subversion. People agreed with Moore but voted Bush. They will probably agree with Ang Lee and remain homophobic.

Surely, Good Night and Good Luck, Match Point or A History of Violence, were far more subversive, in a cinematic and political aspect, than the nice and fluffy impossible love between two cowboys.